|
I have a lot - a LOT - of faith in science fiction’s potential* but I have to admit that I haven’t read very much of it in the last 15 years. Neither, apparently, has anyone else, judging by the publishing industry’s constant state of hand-wringing.
There are as many theories about why this may be so as there are science fiction fans. I’ve come up with my own theory, and in a nutshell, it boils down to Arthur C. Clarke’s third law:
Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic.
This sums up the entire state of science fiction for me. Which is to say, it’s hopelessly naive and ill-informed, and it casts serious doubts on the author’s ability to observe and describe the world around him - much less an extrapolated fictional world.
Therefore, I propose Erika’s Law. Trust me, I know of what I am about to speak. I am bathed in technology. I’ve been a Linux and Unix administrator for nine years, and I work for a high-tech start-up in Seattle. I’m no elderly bumpkin, confused by the idea of a telephone you can put in your pocket. I can define terms like Moore’s Law, the network effect, TCP/IP protocol, and the long tail at the drop of a hat. (And often have. I’m a blast at parties.)
Erika’s Law
Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from a frustrating piece of crap.
This point was admirably brought home to me this afternoon, when I helped an elderly lady with her wheelchair. She was stuck in front of the front door of our building, unable to move either back or forth. Since the door opened towards her, the man inside the lobby was unable to either exit the building or help her inside.
She was small - maybe 98 pounds - and had only one leg. Far too frail to push a manual wheelchair, in other words. She had been kitted out with a fantastically complicated electric wheelchair, which appeared (to my examining eye) to be fairly high-tech.
Unfortunately, it was battery-powered. And as you know if you have purchased any rechargeable item within the last ten years, it is in the nature of rechargeable batteries to stop recharging. This fate is inevitable, like the silent march of the seasons. As a recent flurry of articles has amply explained, the tech curve for batteries has remained fairly flat, while the curve of the items demanding their power has risen exponentially. Technologically, we’re still using 1992’s rechargeable battery.
It’s one thing when your cell phone battery stops recharging. Quite another when your wheelchair strands you right in front of a door, and you’re unable to get out of it - much less to push it. Because - being all fancificated - this wheelchair had no handles. I imagine the developers brashly waving aside the consideration of handles. Why would it need handles? It’s battery-operated!
I had to get practically on my hands and knees, and push her chair from the backs of her armrests. I kept my fingers crossed that I wouldn’t break her chair while I was doing this, because - being battery-operated - its transmission lacked a true neutral setting, and dang, that thing was heavy. I’m not kidding, it’s easier to push my Honda Accord in neutral than it was to push her dead wheelchair.
This process was awkward for me, and fairly mortifying for her. And yet, it’s simply an exaggeration of the sort of thing you see every day. Any single item which has more than one component is guaranteed to have a mis-match in the technology level somewhere along the way. This has always been true, back to the first time someone sharpened a rock, then realized he had no way to attach it to a stick, and had to hold the sharp rock in his hand.
It continued through the printing press, which was developed long before paper became a cheap and easy commodity. And it continues today with my own internet connection, which uses Cingular’s infrastructure to deliver connectivity to my remote Pacific Northwest cabin. This is absolutely fantastic, except for three problems endemic to the current state of cellular transmissions:
1. Since the signal is directional, and easily outfoxed by building materials, there is exactly one (1) place in my cabin where I can set up my laptop. Also, I have to elevate it so that the card’s antenna is above the windowsill. Currently my laptop sits atop a roasting pan, which is atop a cardboard box, which is atop a metal baking rack.
2. If it rains hard, I lose signal.
3. Another quirk of the wireless infrastructure is that each tower can only take a limited amount of traffic. At 12:15PM every day, when the ferry docks in Anacortes, everyone turns on their cellphones to call their loved ones and announce their arrival. Every day at quarter past noon, I get kicked off the tower and usually can’t get back online for at least half an hour.
I can absolutely guarantee that this state of affairs will continue into the future. And yet, everything in science fiction books works like a charm. Nothing ever breaks down or has confusing instructions. I’ve read books where the protagonist has an easier time figuring out how to use something made by goddamned aliens than I’ve had trying to figure out what a button on a toaster is for. (For the record, it said “bagel,” and when you pushed it, a blue light came on. Other than that, nothing happened. Eventually I decided that it was the electronic equivalent of those push-in divots on the lid of a soda cup that say (diet | root beer | other). In other words, that its sole purpose was to indicate that someone had pushed the “bagel” button.)
Any author who doesn’t get this, I have to wonder at their sanity. Actually though, I figure they don’t know a damned thing about technology, probably don’t even have an email account, constantly curse “those kids with their crazy text messagings,” and no doubt take pride in all this.
Ask yourself: is that really the person you want telling you a story about the future?
As if.
* In fact, I’ve staked the majority of my weekend time on it, since I’m working on a science fiction novel. Look upon the slow creep of word count in my sidebar, ye mighty, and despair!
Comments (12)
|